Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.039417 0.043035 0.046704 0.050697 0.054911 0.059221 0.063956
2025-07-27 0.033484 0.038840 0.044482 0.050842 0.057785 0.065106 0.073385
2025-08-03 0.029454 0.036090 0.043322 0.051725 0.061156 0.071351 0.083147
2025-08-10 0.024503 0.031762 0.039948 0.049745 0.061034 0.073524 0.088275
2025-08-17 0.021286 0.029059 0.038102 0.049210 0.062302 0.077067 0.094804
2025-08-24 0.018618 0.026727 0.036445 0.048674 0.063385 0.080265 0.100846
2025-08-31 0.017325 0.025943 0.036525 0.050103 0.066706 0.086011 0.109819
2025-09-07 0.016015 0.025001 0.036300 0.051072 0.069409 0.090997 0.117898
2025-09-14 0.014720 0.023956 0.035845 0.051669 0.071599 0.095335 0.125200
2025-09-21 0.013400 0.022760 0.035097 0.051814 0.073168 0.098885 0.131543
2025-09-28 0.012711 0.022374 0.035363 0.053219 0.076287 0.104313 0.140163
2025-10-05 0.011347 0.020914 0.034099 0.052552 0.076726 0.106412 0.144718
2025-10-12 0.010315 0.019882 0.033386 0.052610 0.078118 0.109752 0.150896
2025-10-19 0.009620 0.019305 0.033266 0.053436 0.080497 0.114336 0.158643
2025-10-26 0.009114 0.018977 0.033472 0.054689 0.083432 0.119639 0.167321
2025-11-02 0.007763 0.017181 0.031457 0.052797 0.082150 0.119545 0.169230
2025-11-09 0.006928 0.016150 0.030500 0.052320 0.082704 0.121764 0.174026
2025-11-16 0.006164 0.015166 0.029551 0.051800 0.083160 0.123829 0.178615
2025-11-23 0.005935 0.015109 0.030014 0.053310 0.086386 0.129507 0.187833
2025-11-30 0.005614 0.014855 0.030148 0.054329 0.088938 0.134315 0.195963
2025-12-07 0.005236 0.014456 0.030028 0.054957 0.090939 0.138405 0.203188
2025-12-14 0.004793 0.013891 0.029606 0.055110 0.092266 0.141600 0.209266
2025-12-21 0.004631 0.013866 0.030059 0.056576 0.095441 0.147263 0.218570